Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.001546 1.716158e-03 0.001888 0.002072 0.002265 0.002460 0.002672
2025-02-16 0.001233 1.497793e-03 0.001775 0.002084 0.002416 0.002762 0.003146
2025-02-23 0.000880 1.202341e-03 0.001556 0.001966 0.002421 0.002906 0.003458
2025-03-02 0.000616 9.720603e-04 0.001386 0.001884 0.002456 0.003079 0.003802
2025-03-09 0.000424 7.973475e-04 0.001259 0.001839 0.002523 0.003285 0.004182
2025-03-16 0.000284 6.620367e-04 0.001163 0.001818 0.002612 0.003512 0.004587
2025-03-23 0.000202 5.877305e-04 0.001134 0.001872 0.002784 0.003834 0.005100
2025-03-30 0.000128 5.033461e-04 0.001080 0.001888 0.002908 0.004098 0.005546
2025-04-06 0.000074 4.316027e-04 0.001033 0.001907 0.003032 0.004359 0.005989
2025-04-13 0.000037 3.726513e-04 0.000996 0.001933 0.003161 0.004626 0.006437
2025-04-20 0.000008 2.943109e-04 0.000917 0.001895 0.003205 0.004787 0.006759
2025-04-27 NaN 2.277469e-04 0.000843 0.001858 0.003246 0.004941 0.007070
2025-05-04 NaN 1.979874e-04 0.000837 0.001927 0.003439 0.005300 0.007649
2025-05-11 NaN 1.641623e-04 0.000819 0.001979 0.003613 0.005642 0.008216
2025-05-18 NaN 9.789087e-05 0.000712 0.001891 0.003602 0.005756 0.008513
2025-05-25 NaN 5.315743e-05 0.000629 0.001831 0.003622 0.005909 0.008858
2025-06-01 NaN 2.567464e-05 0.000568 0.001800 0.003680 0.006108 0.009259
2025-06-08 NaN 9.734375e-06 0.000522 0.001789 0.003764 0.006339 0.009699
2025-06-15 NaN 4.529406e-06 0.000517 0.001849 0.003948 0.006697 0.010297
2025-06-22 NaN 3.956695e-07 0.000492 0.001870 0.004075 0.006983 0.010803
2025-06-29 NaN NaN 0.000470 0.001892 0.004203 0.007268 0.011310
2025-07-06 NaN NaN 0.000452 0.001921 0.004339 0.007564 0.011829
2025-07-13 NaN NaN 0.000404 0.001884 0.004377 0.007731 0.012187